Kuwaiti first half budget surplus may turn into deficit if crude remains weak
According to the latest economic brief published by National Bank of Kuwait, the surplus posted by the Kuwaiti budget in the first six-month period of the fiscal year 2001/2002 will turn into a small deficit if Kuwait crude remains between $15 - $17 in the next three months.
According to the NBK report, by the close of FY01/02 the surplus indicated in the interim figures is likely to vanish. Weaker oil prices and reduced crude oil output have already negatively impacted revenues during the first half of FY01/02.
Sharper declines since October are expected to cause the variance from last year’s revenues for the year as a whole to be even greater. Revenues are expected to stand at KD 4.65 – 4.71 billion, down by 29–30 percent from FY00/01 on an annualized basis.
Still, NBK expects actual revenues to exceed budget estimates that were based on a hypothetical price of $15 a barrel. In contrast, NBK estimates the average price of Kuwait crude to range between $19.5 and $20 for the full fiscal year even with the average for the first quarter of 2002 remaining in the range of $15 - $17. — (menareport.com)
© 2002 Mena Report (www.menareport.com)
Top Headlines
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