New Zealand Dollar Still Looks Bearish

Published January 7th, 2008 - 05:16 GMT
Al Bawaba
Al Bawaba

Commentary:  The NZDUSD may be about to fall…and hard.  The decline from .7937 to .7507 is a 5 wave decline and is either  wave 1 down in a 5 wave bear cycle or wave A down in a 3 wave bear cycle (either way…a drop below .7507 is expected).  The rally to .7791 is best counted as a 3 wave advance and the 61.8% retrace of .7937-.7507 has held twice.    
 
Strategy:  Bearish, from .7791, target below .7435