Last week, in a fit of unbridled road rage, Suleiman al Assad – a young cousin of Syrian president Bashar al Assad – shot and killed an air force colonel over a traffic dispute. The murder of Hassan al Shaikh kicked off three days of demonstrations in the Syrian seaside city Latakia, and flung this – the hometown of the Assad clan and a regime stronghold throughout the five-year civil war – Alawi-hot spot on the map. Is this the start of a new Syrian splintering?
The Britain-based Syrian Observatory for Human Rights reported that more than 1,000 protesters bearing pictures of Shaikh filled Latakia streets calling for the execution of Suleiman Assad. (State media - likely conflicted - didn't report the traffic incident, the shooting, nor the demonstrations.)
A pivotal port town
Latakia is home to a large 'minority' of Alawis, also known as Alawites, (Alawīyyah, in Arabic: علوية), the branch of Shia Islam to which the ruling Assad clan belongs. The sect comprises roughly 12 percent of the country's 22 million people. They’ve steadfastly supported Assad against the mainly Sunni Muslim insurgents, but opposition activists now point to growing dissent, pinning it on government corruption and the high death toll of Alawi civilians and fighters (estimated in the tens of thousands - that’s nearly a third of their young men).
An investigative report filed last April by the Telegraph stated Alawis increasingly perceive that they are tools of the regime, trapped between jihadists who view them as apostates, and a corrupt authority that assured them the war would be easily won.
Is this symptomatic of fracturing support from Assad’s staunchest backers?
Abe Lincoln, who knew a bit about bloody civil war, famously quipped, “A house divided against itself cannot stand.” Let’s take a closer look at this religious ruling minority that can potentially unravel the Assad regime.