British Pound Technical Outlook

Published September 10th, 2008 - 06:22 GMT
Al Bawaba
Al Bawaba

Various sentiment measures are extreme and suggest that a turn is imminent.  “COT positioning is the most extreme in its history by some measures (net speculative shorts and net commercial longs).” 



3 day RSI finished at its lowest level since the 1970s on Friday.  On multiple time frames, divergence with RSI warns of a turn.  On the daily, a sharp pullback is needed to correct the extreme oversold reading.  Yesterday’s inside day warns of a potential turn as well.  A rally through 1.7705 would signal that the short term trend is up.