British Pound Volatile

Published January 18th, 2008 - 06:00 GMT
Al Bawaba
Al Bawaba

Commentary: We wrote yesterday that “given the shelf of support just below 1.9500, the rally this morning makes it possible that at least a multi-week bottom is in place at 1.9483.  As such, a bullish bias is warranted against 1.9524 for a rally to at least the 2.0100 level (former resistance).  We do not know yet of course whether or not the decline from 2.1160 will complete 5 waves -- so far the decline is in just 3 waves.  Recent COT data argues for a significant GBP low to form.”  We stand by this analysis and expect the Pound to continue gaining.  For more on Cable, see Pound Explosion.

Strategy:  Bullish, against 1.9524, target TBD