Currency Rallies Classed as Corrective; More USD Gains Ahead (Daily Classical)

Published June 9th, 2009 - 09:51 GMT
Al Bawaba
Al Bawaba

•    Euro rallies seen limited; look to sell
•    Dollar/Yen setbacks to be well supported ahead of 97.00
•    Cable seeking out fresh lower top ahead of next drop
•    Dollar/Swiss to be very well supported on dips; look to buy






EUR/USD


EUR/USD – The market is in the process of correcting following the latest drop off from the 2009 highs set in the previous week by 1.4340. Any additional rallies are now seen well capped by previous support now turned resistance by 1.4070-1.4100 and rallies towards this area should be used as opportunities to initiate fresh short trades in anticipation of a break back below 1.3805 towards the 1.3500-1.3700 area. Strategy: SIDELINED FOR NOW; LOOK TO SELL.

Level

Resistance

Details

1.4270

R3

6/5 high

1.4070

R2

6/4 low

1.4055

 R1 

6/9 high

Level

Support

Details

1.3850

S1

6/9 low

1.3805

S2

6/8 low

1.3790

S3

5/28 low


USD/JPY



USD/JPY – The break of shorter-term trend-line resistance off of the 2009 highs on Friday likely opens the door to additional upside over the medium-term, with any setbacks now seen well supported on dips to 97.25, which acts as previous resistance now turned support. Look for a higher low to carve out in the lower 97.00’s ahead of fresh upside over the coming days back above 98.90 and towards the more critical falling trend-line resistance just over 100.00. Strategy: SIDELINED FOR NOW; LOOK TO BUY. We had issued a buy recommendation at 97.25 but do not expect the trade to trigger by 5pm ET.   

Level

Resistance

Details

99.75

R3

5/7 high

98.90

R2

6/5 high

98.20

 R1 

6/8 low

Level

Support

Details

97.40

S1

6/9 low