DailyFX Roundtable

Published May 4th, 2009 - 05:24 GMT
Al Bawaba
Al Bawaba

My picks: Watching for EUR/CHF Break
Expertise: Fundamentals Combined With Technicals
Average Time Frame of Trades: 1 Day - 1 Week
 



EUR/CHF has spent a lengthy amount of time consolidating with a tight channel, and while the pair bounced last week from support at the 50% fib of 1.4586-1.5448 at 1.5017, its inability to break above immediate resistance at 1.5130 does little to inspire confidence that further gains are in store. In this situation, I think it may be best to await a breakout, which tends to follow these sorts of consolidations.

Bullish parameters: Watch for a break above falling trendline resistance at approximately 1.5175. Upside potential may be limited due to resistance at the 200 SMA at 1.5336.

Bearish paramters: Watch for a break below the April lows and psychological support at 1.5000 to target the 78.6% fib of 1.4586-1.5448 at 1.4772.

Maintain appropriate risk/reward levels.