Dollar/Cad Buy Recommendation Issued (Daily Classical)

Published March 26th, 2009 - 10:37 GMT
Al Bawaba
Al Bawaba

Euro  looking for third consecutive daily lower high. Dollar/Yen eyes retest of 99.70 2009 highs. Cable reverses course after failing above 100-Day SMA. Dollar/Swiss still well propped above 200-Day SMA. Dollar/Cad buy place in anticipation of fresh upside extension. Australian Dollar not ready to roll over just yet. New Zealand Dollar short position taken.






EUR/USD



EUR/USD – Remains locked in sideways trade since rallying to fresh multi-day highs by 1.3740 last week. However, with daily studies showing overbought, the risks are for an eventual break of consolidation to the downside, ahead of a resumption of the broader trend. Consecutive daily lower highs are helping to confirm our bearish bias. A break below 1.3420 will ultimately be required to get things moving. Back above 1.3650 negates. Strategy: SIDELINED; AWAIT CLEARER SIGNAL.

Level

Resistance

Details

1.3740

R3

3/19 high

1.3680

R2

3/24 high

1.3650

 R1 

3/25 high

Level

Support

Details

1.3420

S1

3/25 low

1.3390

S2

1/19 high

1.3320

S3

10-Day SMA

USD/JPY



USD/JPY – Continues to grind higher with today’s break back above 98.60 to likely expose a direct retest of the 99.70 yearly highs over the coming session. A break above 99.70 should then trigger a fresh wave of buying above critical psychological barriers at 100.00 and towards the major double bottom (triggered on the break of 94.60 on 23Feb) measured move objective at 104.00. Dips should be well supported ahead of 96.90. Strategy: SIDELINED; AWAIT CLEARER SIGNAL.

Level

Resistance

Details

99.70

R3

3/5 2009 high

99.00

R2

3/17 high

98.70

 R1 

3/26 high

Level

Support

Details

97.45

S1

3/26 low

96.90

S2

3/24 low

95.45

S3

3/23 low

GBP/USD



GBP/USD – A string of four consecutive daily higher lows was broken on Wednesday after the pair failed to establish above the 100-Day SMA. This set up a bearish reversal day that is showing good downside follow through today. Look for the break below Wednesday’s low to now open the door for a resumption of the broader bear trend. Next key short-term support comes in by 1.4395. Only back above the 100-Day negates. Strategy: SIDELINED; AWAIT CLEARER SIGNAL.

Level

Resistance

Details

1.4780

R3

3/24 high

1.4725

R2

3/23 high

1.4640

 R1 

3/26 high

Level

Support

Details

1.4420

S1

3/23 low

1.4395

S2

3/20 low

1.4230

S3

3/16 high

USD/CHF



USD/CHF – The pair has found some decent support at current levels in the form of the 50% fib retracement off of the 1.0370-1.1970 move (1.1170) and the 200-Day SMA (1.1200). Look for a rebound from sub-1.1500 levels back into the familiar range over the coming days. Below 1.1165 negates. Strategy: SIDELINED; AWAIT CLEARER SIGNAL.

Level

Resistance

Details

1.1500

R3

Psychological

1.1460

R2

3/19 high

1.1345

 R1 

3/23 high

Level

Support