EUR/CHF Consolidation Likely to Yield Strong Breakout

Published May 12th, 2009 - 05:19 GMT
Al Bawaba
Al Bawaba

My picks: Watching for EUR/CHF Break
Expertise: Fundamentals Combined With Technicals
Average Time Frame of Trades: 1 Day - 1 Week
 



I've been looking at this trade since last Monday, as EUR/CHF has spent a lengthy amount of time consolidating with a tight channel, though the pair did bounce last week from support at the 50% fib of 1.4586-1.5448 at 1.5017.

Bullish parameters: Watch for a break above falling trendline resistance at approximately 1.5175/80. Upside potential may be limited due to resistance at the 200 SMA at 1.5336.

Bearish paramters: Watch for a break below the April lows and psychological support at 1.5000 to target the 78.6% fib of 1.4586-1.5448 at 1.4772.

Traders should maintain appropriate risk/reward levels.