Euro Count Unclear

Published October 17th, 2007 - 05:16 GMT
Al Bawaba
Al Bawaba

Commentary:  No change to the EURUSD.  There are two counts that we are tracking closely.  One treats the decline from 1.4281 as wave A on a larger correction.  The subsequent rally would be wave B and wave C would be underway now. 



Under this scenario, the decline is likely to extend to at least 1.3978 (100% extension of 1.4281-1.4015/1.4243).  This count is favored due to the sentiment readings from the COT report which strongly suggests that the US Dollar is nearing a bottom.  The alternate count treats the rally from 1.4015 as wave i of a new bull cycle with a smaller a-b-c correction unfolding now.       
   
Strategy:  Flat