Euro continues to weaken; eyes move to 100-Day SMA. Dollar/Yen puts in bearish inside day. Cable recovers after bouncing from 100-Day SMA. Dollar/Swiss well bid but stalls on approach to 1.1500. Dollar/Cad propped ahead of rising trend-line. Australian Dollar puts in daily lower high and lower low. New Zealand Dollar stops trailed on short to eliminate risk.
EUR/USD
| EUR/USD – Back under pressure on Tuesday with the market now looking for an initial retest of the 100-Day SMA by 1.3165 with a break below to expose the key short-term trend lows by 1.3115. Intraday rallies should now be capped ahead of Tuesday’s daily lower high at 1.3420. Strategy: SIDELINED; AWAIT CLEARER SIGNAL. |
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USD/JPY
| USD/JPY – We continue to favor additional upside over the coming sessions with the market having finally taken out psychological barriers at 100.00, to expose the major 87.15 double bottom objective by 104.00. Only a close back under 99.35 delays. Thursday’s close above the 200-Day SMA (first time since September 2008) reaffirms bullish outlook. Next key topside resistance comes in by 101.70, the 61.8% fib retrace off of the major 110.70-87.15 move (Aug08-Jan09). Strategy: SIDELINED; AWAIT CLEARER SIGNAL. |
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GBP/USD
| GBP/USD – Gains have stalled out on Monday after failing shy of key short-term resistance by 1.4990 from February 9. Monday’s high also coincides with the upper Bollinger, and the market could now be poised for a resumption of the broader downtrend by the loose bear channel top. Tuesday’s break below 1.4650 confirms and should accelerate declines. Only back above 1.4960 negates. Strategy: SIDELINED; AWAIT CLEARER SIGNAL.
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USD/CHF
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USD/CHF – Setbacks continue to be very well supported by the 200-day SMA with Monday’s bullish outside day showing good follow through on Tuesday. From here we see risks for a resumption of gains back above 1.1500 and through the recent trend highs at 1.1550. Only back under 1.1165 negates outlook and gives reason for pause. Strategy: SIDELINED; AWAIT CLEARER SIGNAL.
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