Euro Technical Outlook

Published April 29th, 2008 - 04:44 GMT
Al Bawaba
Al Bawaba

As focused on yesterday, “5 waves down from 1.6018 confirms that the an important top is in place.  The rally from 1.5554 is in 3 waves and is therefore corrective.  1.5694 may be the top of wave 2 (as shown above).  The alternate count treats the rally from 1.5554 to 1.5694 as wave w in a larger w, x, y correction. 



Potential resistance on a push through 1.5694 begins at 1.5731.”  The developments this morning make it likely that 1.5694 is the top of wave 2 since the EURUSD has already dropped below 1.5554.  For wave 2 to end above 1.5694, the pair would have to trace out an expanded flat, which is more common in 4th waves.  In summary, expect the EURUSD decline to accelerate in a 3rd wave.