European Stocks Push Higher, Aim at Recent Highs

Published April 27th, 2009 - 09:07 GMT
Al Bawaba
Al Bawaba

Index Strat Risk Target
FTSE Flat    
DAX    Flat    
CAC 40 Flat    


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FTSE 100                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             

Long-term Technical Outlook





There is little change to the outlook for the FTSE 100. 5 waves down from the 2007 high are complete and A 3 wave advance is underway now. Near term, a B wave decline likely leads to a drop back to 3763.


Short-Term Technical Outlook


The FTSE rebounded from support at the 100-day moving average and broke past resistance at the intersection of a rising trend line that served as the bottom of a rising channel since March and the 76.4% Fibonacci retracement. The bulls now see the next hurdle at 433397, the previous swing high.


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DAX 30                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 

Long-term Technical Outlook





A 5 wave decline is also complete in the DAX. A B wave decline is expected near term and likely leads to a decline back to 4229 or even 3987.



Short-Term Technical Outlook




German shares rebounded from support at the 76.4% Fibonacci retracement level and are now aiming to challenge the double top at 47020 once again. A break higher will target rising channel resistance at 47976.


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CAC 40                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 _


Long-term Technical Outlook




In examining the CAC 40 pattern from the 2007 high, it is possible to count 5 waves down with wave 5 as an ending diagonal. The diagonal is clear on this chart. 5th wave diagonals are almost always fully retraced fairly quickly. As is the case with other European indexes, expect a B wave decline, potentially back to 2719.


Short-Term Technical Outlook