France is playing a risky dating game in the Gulf: experts

Published May 7th, 2015 - 05:50 GMT
Al Bawaba
Al Bawaba
Hungry for defence deals, France has cosied up to the Gulf monarchies, winning several billion-euro contracts in the process, but its strategy of backing one side in the region's Sunni-Shia power struggle is risky, say experts.
 
These are boom times for France's defence industry, with the country signing 15 billion euros ($16.7 billion) worth of weapons deals this year -- almost double its 8.1-billion tally for the whole of 2014.
 
Mounting chaos in the Middle East has prompted the oil-rich Gulf monarchies to arm themselves to the teeth, and they are increasingly reluctant to work with the United States, given its recent efforts to build bridges with their great rival, Iran.
 
France has leapt into the void. President Francois Hollande travelled to the Gulf this week to sign a 6.3-billion-euro deal with Qatar to supply 24 Rafale combat aircraft, and became the first Western head of state to attend a Gulf Cooperation Council leaders' meeting.
 
His team hopes Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates will be next in line with orders for arms worth tens of billions of euros.

Last month, France also began supplying weapons to Lebanon as part of a $3-billion, Saudi-funded programme.

"Hollande is a formidable tactician. He has well understood the enormous concern in the Sunni Arab world about the Arab Spring and the sectarianism breaking out in the region," said Pierre Lellouche, a former trade minister from the opposition UMP party.

But in the contest between Iran and the Gulf monarchies, France may have come down too clearly on the side of the latter, analysts warn.

"Is it sensible of France to go with one camp over the other? No. It is preferable to keep a policy of equal distance between the two," said Lellouche.

Instead, Hollande was feted with pomp and ceremony in the Saudi capital Riyadh this week. His lengthy joint statement with King Salman was replete with phrases such as "spirit of friendship", "privileged relations" and "strategic partnership".

"If the conflict between Iran and Saudi Arabia gets increasingly bitter, the risk is that France will be perceived as endorsing Saudi Arabia's foreign policy," said David Butter of the Chatham House think tank in London.

- 'Proud of selling weapons' -

None of this has gone over well in Iran, where President Hassan Rouhani this week made pointed remarks about Western countries who "come to the region and are proud of having sold billions of dollars or euros of weapons".

By Michel Sailhan

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