Gold and Silver Forecasts Turn Bearish

Published April 17th, 2009 - 01:56 GMT
Al Bawaba
Al Bawaba

Index Strat Risk Target
Oil FLAT     
Gold    SHORT 1010 600 
Silver SHORT 14.60  < 8


Short-Term Technical Forecast for Crude Oil


Crude oil prices have been fairly motionless through recent trade, but the NYMEX contract threatens to break lower if it is unable to hold a medium-term rising trendline. The 49.50 mark represents the approximate level of support offered by the multi-month trend, and the contract has thus far managed to stay above. Yet a break opens up a move towards firm price floors at 47.50 and 45.00. Medium-term momentum remains to the topside, but it seems that crude oil could potentially see further pullbacks through near term trade.

Short-Term Technical Forecast for Gold


 

Gold prices remain in a fairly tight short-term range, and subsequent forecasts are somewhat unclear. The COMEX Gold contract recently failed to break above the 50.0 percent Fibonacci retracement of the 935-865 move at 900. The resistance level likewise coincides with a recent spike-high, and Gold bulls may have a difficult time breaking above it. To the downside, a multi-week trendline lends support near the 890 mark. Until we see a break in either direction, short-term outlook will remain unclear.

Short-Term Technical Forecast for Silver


The COMEX Silver contract finds itself in much the same position as gold, as silver prices have broken key trend lows. Subsequent price targets become previous spike-lows near the 12.000 mark, and a break lower would signal a move towards 11.50 is likely.