Australian Dollar Technical Outlook

Published March 6th, 2008 - 07:36 GMT
Al Bawaba
Al Bawaba



We view the decline from .9496 as wave 4 within the 5 wave advance from .8512.  Price is expected to exceed .9496 in the next few weeks and possibly test parity before a major reversal occurs.  Within the 5 wave rally from .8512, wave 1 is 588 pips, and wave 3 is 622 pips.  Wave 5 could be extended or could be close to the lengths of wave 1 and 3.  This places the end of the AUDUSD rally near at least .9800-.9900.  Near term, there are 5 wave up from .9218, so look to get long near structural support near .9300.  Risk is .9218.

STRATEGY: Look for longs near .9300, against .9218, target TBD