New Zealand Dollar: Decline to Accelerate

Published March 19th, 2008 - 11:38 GMT
Al Bawaba
Al Bawaba

Visit the Kiwi MAJOR Reversal article from Friday to view the longer term chart that indicates why we favor a major turn.  This chart is very short term (15 minute) for timing purposes.





This is a possible short term bearish count that would fit with our bigger picture count that suggests a major top is in place at .8215.  The decline from .8215 can be counted as a 5 wave drop (wave i is a leading diagonal) and the rally to .8173 can be counted as a 3 wave correction.  This up-down sequence is viewed as waves 1 and 2 of a 5 wave bear cycle.  This implies that wave 3 is underway now (from .8173) and that the decline is about to accelerate.  Expect a small bounce in wave ii of 3 first though.