ALBAWABA - According to a report by The Times, a possible agreement between the United States and Iran to put an end to the ongoing conflict is being seen as an initial framework rather than a total peace treaty.
The suggested deal is characterized as a "statement of intent" that outlines future conversations without resolving the fundamental disagreements between the two parties, although it has raised hopes among Pakistani mediators. Financial markets have reacted favorably to recent threats made by U.S. President Donald Trump, and oil prices have decreased due to anticipation of a de-escalation.
According to the stated terms, Washington would loosen its naval limitations and Iran would progressively reopen the Strait of Hormuz, providing both sides with short-term economic respite following an expensive conflict.
But there are still significant obstacles. It might take weeks to remove mines from the strait, after which there would only be roughly 30 days to discuss important matters, such as how to handle Iran's highly enriched uranium.
The pact lacks specific obligations, experts caution, and it might just put the conflict on hold rather than end it. The longevity of any deal is called into question by the unsolved core concerns, especially Iran's nuclear program and the future of sanctions.
According to the study, Washington's strategy is to maintain stability in international energy markets while placing persistent pressure on Tehran, especially in advance of significant domestic political events in the United States.
In the meantime, Iran is still dealing with increasing internal challenges brought on by the prolonged conflict and sanctions, such as economic downturn, currency depreciation, and rising unemployment.
If Tehran loses leverage related to the Strait of Hormuz, analysts say it may finally decide to escalate rather than compromise, increasing the likelihood of short-term conflicts.
Concerns that the conclusion would resemble a protracted "no war, no peace" scenario, leaving tensions unresolved and the region open to more instability, are mounting as negotiations remain precarious.
